Gentlemen,
my opinion on the reason for San Bruno pipeline explosion is not a weld failure, but corrosion, either internal or external.
Brazilian television and newspapers have said that the natural gas pipeline is a rather old one.
Over the years, it might well happened that the chemical composition of the natural gas coming off the wells has changed a little, becoming a slightly sour gas, and sour gas is corrosive.
It might also happened that over the years the pipeline corrosion proof coating has spoiled in some place, giving way to soil corrosion.
And what about cathodic protection, present on all pĂpelines? Well, to work satisfactorily, cathodic protection systems need careful maintenance, and chances are that in that case maintenance was not so careful ...............
Giovanni S. Crisi
Sao Paulo - Brazil
Mr. Crisi,
You are probably correct. I have seen very little news coverage on this and what I have seen has been very sketchy.
This morning, Fox News keeps saying a report is to be aired shortly but I have yet to see this report.
Griff
They can probably find out pretty quick if they examine some sections of pipe away from the part that exploded.
I feel bad for all the homes that were lost. It looks like they were nothing more than a pile of ash. Everything totally gone.
It will be interesting to understand how such a pipeline (large diameter, significant pressure) remained in close proximity to such a high population density and residential construction activity, and if the respective operational classification correctly relfected that proximity. How many resisdents knew what was running outside their front door? Whoofty, literally.
For a pipe that old, unique effects of time and local conditions become significant. The pipe section appears to be at a local low point and condensate water, and associated corrosion, can concentrate there. Proximity to a roadway and residential utilities significantly raises the liklihood of denting or gouging type damage. Superimposed stress caused by geological movement can contribute to conditions supporting or activating stress corrosion cracking. The proximity to siesmic activity is intersting for introducting a fatigue component. One can see on the realtime USGS siesmic maps that low level vibrations can occur with high frequency along a fault line (probably a good thing in the general context).