Gentleman, I want to thank you for your comments.
Here are some additional facts regarding our waste heat steam generator. We use flue gases from an up stream reformer with an inlet gas temperature of approx. 1650 - 1700 degrees F. The gas flows through the tubes thereby heating the water and generating our steam. The tube materials are SA-179A with a .120 min wall thickness with a diameter of 1.500". Actual measurements during fabrication noted that the tube walls averages 0.126 thick. The tube sheet is 4.125 thick and is made of SA-516-70N material. The tube holes average ID are 1.520 with an average clearance distance of .010 between the tubes and tube sheet. The tubes where expanded using a hydro expander at a pressure of 30,000 psi giving us an average wall reduction in the expansion area of 6-7%. The reduction area is approx 7/16" from the face of the tube sheet and continues on for 3/4-1" in length. The weld detail has is using a 3/16" j bevel from the face of the tube sheet and then adding a .125 fillet weld over that, thereby designing it around a full strength joint type.
We initially felt that there as a huge temperature problem on the face of the tube sheet, but current FEA analysis indicate that the face of the tube sheet has not gotten over 845 degrees F. Our current train of thoughts has us believing that some how, water may have gotten passed the expanded area and gotten to the void area that exists between the root of the weld and the expanded area. Once the liquid is there, is has flashed off thereby creating an external pressure area on the outside of the tube. However I have calculate this possible void area, and determined that is approx .012 cubic inches in volume. Based on this volume I do not know if it would generate enough steam to cause the expansion of the tubes. I also believe that there some how has to be a temperature element to the problem to cause the deformation shown.
Bruce Salonek