Me, I'm not a pro but if I was in your position. I made a simple jig for my drill press to notch pipe to do exactly what your wanting to do. Here is a link to the post. The picture of the jig and hole saw is down the page, you'll see it.
http://www.americanweldingsociety.org/cgi-bin/mwf/topic_show.pl?tid=22425If you don't have the drill press here is what I would do. You know that the center of your arch needs to be the same at the highest point right? You could wrap a tap measure around the pipe and make sure it is flat and square with itself all the way around, kinda like a poor mans pipe wrap. Make a line around the pipe. This will give you a guage for the highest point of your arch. You could even measure it out, your pipe will have a 1 1/4" radius, so you could measure up 1 1/4", use your tape measure to make a line around the outside of the pipe at that point. Then take your grinder and slowly start working away at it. Your center arc will have to be pretty even, but your not building the space shuttle either. You want it close enough so it fit's well but not like an engineer or cwi is gonna come by and kick you off your own project.
Me, I'd dig in real deep at the center on both sides then slowly taper the arch in with the grinder and check it frequently with a piece of the 2 1/2" til it fit well. A little gap between the two pieces will be fine, then you can get full penetration you just don't want a gap you could park a dump truck in.
I think Tractor Supply has a template made from steel, seen it there before, not sure what size though, 2" or 2 1/2". It's not as hard as it sounds, just nibble a little at a time and work it out. It's good for the brain to figure this stuff out.